{"id":462,"date":"2016-06-14T14:10:33","date_gmt":"2016-06-14T12:10:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/dev.m-q.ch\/?p=462"},"modified":"2016-12-09T14:11:18","modified_gmt":"2016-12-09T13:11:18","slug":"big-data-et-mauvaises-decisions-a-lem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.m-q.ch\/fr\/big-data-et-mauvaises-decisions-a-lem\/","title":{"rendered":"Les grandes donn\u00e9es et les mauvaises d\u00e9cisions \u00e0 l'EM"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/a>
Quand il s'agit de champions europ\u00e9ens, tout le monde est un expert.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Les gar\u00e7ons de L\u00f6w, les v\u00e9t\u00e9rans de Busquets ou d'autres travailleurs acharn\u00e9s ? Les spectateurs ne sauront pas quelle \u00e9quipe ram\u00e8nera finalement le troph\u00e9e du vainqueur avant le d\u00e9but du mois de juillet. Les chercheurs aimeraient cependant utiliser les analyses Big Data pour calculer quelles tactiques sont prometteuses et qui a donc les meilleures chances de gagner le championnat europ\u00e9en.<\/p>\n

Avec l'aide de Big Data et de statistiques, les scientifiques de l'Institut de technologie de Karlsruhe (KIT) d\u00e9terminent d\u00e9j\u00e0 qui sera le champion europ\u00e9en le plus probable. Leur technologie tient compte des nouvelles r\u00e8gles du football. N\u00e9anmoins, il existe aussi des lois plus \u00e9lev\u00e9es. Au lieu de syst\u00e8mes comme par le pass\u00e9, les \"principes de jeu\" tactiques d\u00e9terminent quel joueur doit se comporter comment dans quelles situations.<\/p>\n

De nouvelles r\u00e8gles pertinentes ?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Le terme \"syst\u00e8me de jeu\" ne d\u00e9crit plus exactement ce qui se passe sur le terrain aujourd'hui\", d\u00e9clare le Dr Dietmar Blicker, scientifique sportif du KIT. Son groupe de recherche produit des analyses de matchs pour le Karlsruher SC, entre autres, et \u00e9tudie les d\u00e9veloppements tactiques du football. \"Alors que le \"4-4-2\" ou le \"5-3-2\" se jouait autrefois pendant 90 minutes, le jeu moderne est devenu beaucoup plus souple\".<\/p>\n

La formation tactique des joueurs est donc de plus en plus importante. \"Sur le terrain, les joueurs doivent \u00eatre capables de reconna\u00eetre par eux-m\u00eames s'ils sont n\u00e9cessaires dans le r\u00f4le de d\u00e9fenseur central ou d'arri\u00e8re lat\u00e9ral. En ce qui concerne les nouvelles r\u00e8gles du football, qui entreront en vigueur le 1er juin et s'appliqueront donc \u00e9galement au Championnat d'Europe, Blicker d\u00e9clare : \"Les changements ne sont pas dramatiques pour la plupart, mais dans certains cas, ils peuvent peut-\u00eatre conduire \u00e0 des d\u00e9veloppements tactiques passionnants dans le jeu\".<\/p>\n

Par exemple, le coup d'envoi peut d\u00e9sormais \u00eatre jou\u00e9 directement \u00e0 l'envers, et un \"mur d'attaque\" destin\u00e9 \u00e0 obstruer la vue du gardien de but est interdit.<\/p>\n

L'Allemagne - pas de champion d'Europe<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"La bonne nouvelle de l'\u00e9tude est qu'il y a 94,3 % de probabilit\u00e9 que l'\u00e9quipe nationale allemande de football passe la phase de groupe et atteigne les huiti\u00e8mes de finale\", d\u00e9clare le professeur Michael Feindt du KIT. \"Cependant, la probabilit\u00e9 que l'Allemagne devienne championne d'Europe est inf\u00e9rieure \u00e0 dix pour cent.\" La France (34,4 %), l'Espagne (17,5 %) et l'Angleterre (11,3 %) ont de meilleures chances.<\/p>\n

Feindt est un expert en mati\u00e8re d'analyse de donn\u00e9es importantes. La soci\u00e9t\u00e9 qu'il a fond\u00e9e, Blue Yonder, d\u00e9veloppe des logiciels de pr\u00e9vision et aide les entreprises de vente au d\u00e9tail \u00e0 prendre des d\u00e9cisions fond\u00e9es sur des donn\u00e9es pour la planification des stocks et la tarification dynamique. Le logiciel de pr\u00e9diction utilise des r\u00e9seaux de neurones auto-apprenants, reconna\u00eet des mod\u00e8les et des corr\u00e9lations dans de grandes quantit\u00e9s de donn\u00e9es et cr\u00e9e des pr\u00e9visions \u00e0 partir de celles-ci.<\/p>\n

Technologie Cern<\/strong><\/p>\n

Il a \u00e9t\u00e9 d\u00e9velopp\u00e9 \u00e0 l'origine pour \u00eatre utilis\u00e9 en physique des particules \u00e9l\u00e9mentaires au Cern, o\u00f9 il a r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 d\u00e9couvrir les quelques particules scientifiquement pertinentes parmi des milliers. Pour les pr\u00e9visions du Championnat d'Europe, les algorithmes ont \u00e9t\u00e9 adapt\u00e9s et aliment\u00e9s par les r\u00e9sultats des 36 000 matches internationaux officiels jou\u00e9s depuis 1873. Bien s\u00fbr, de nombreux impond\u00e9rables d\u00e9terminent le d\u00e9roulement du tournoi, comme le temps, les blessures et les mauvaises d\u00e9cisions.<\/p>\n

\"N\u00e9anmoins, nous pouvons utiliser nos algorithmes pour pr\u00e9dire la probabilit\u00e9 que chaque \u00e9quipe quitte le terrain en tant que vainqueur \u00e0 Paris le 10 juillet\", a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 Michael Feindt.<\/p>\n

http:\/\/www.blue-yonder.com<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

L\u00f6ws seine Jungs, Busquets seine Routiniers oder doch andere Fleissarbeiter? Welches Team letztlich den Siegerpokal nachhause bringen wird, wissen Zuschauende erst anfangs Juli. Forscher m\u00f6chten allerdings jetzt schon mittels Big Data Analysen errechnen, welche Taktik erfolgversprechend ist und wer somit die gr\u00f6sste Chance auf die Europameisterschaft hat. Mit Hilfe von Big Data und Statistik ermitteln […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":69,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[3334],"class_list":["post-462","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-unkategorisiert","tag-it-business-software"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBig Data und Fehlentscheidungen bei der EM - MQ Management und Qualit\u00e4t<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Die Fussball-EM in Frankreich verdeutlich einmal mehr Extreme. Gleichwohl k\u00f6nnte man meinen Spiel, Brot und Peitsche unterliegen inzwischen fixen Skripts, Mustern oder Strukturen. 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